XRP Price Action May Shift Timeline by Months

XRP finds itself at a critical juncture as crypto analyst CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) closely monitors the digital asset’s price action around vital Fibonacci levels.

The technical structure highlighted in her latest post could decide whether a substantial rally arrives right on time or gets delayed by several months.

Trading near $1.0334 after slipping beneath its macro 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, XRP is currently “floating between major levels,” according to CasiTrades, with no definitive resolution yet. This compression situated between primary support areas is what makes the present situation so crucial.

WE ARE TESTING LEVELS THAT COULD CHANGE THE TIMELINE BY MONTHS!!!

I've been watching ripple:native slip below its macro .786 Fib over the last few days, hoping we'd find meaningful support. But its essentially floating between major levels… I know many of you are… pic.twitter.com/zUBqMb1M9n

— CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) November 12, 2026

Two Outcomes Are on the Table

The first scenario preserves the existing bullish wave count. Should XRP form a double-bottom close to the $1 mark, it would wrap up subwave 2 and keep the “new-trend scenario” alive. She identifies the $1 and $0.90 thresholds as “major macro buying levels,” noting that very few significant supports remain underneath them.

The alternative scenario introduces more complexity. A drop toward a new low of $0.90 would completely reset the subwave count. CasiTrades points out that this path would necessitate “another smaller W1 and W2 before the larger move can really get going,” potentially pushing back the breakout by months.

The Macro Target Stays Valid

Neither potential outcome invalidates the overarching thesis. As CasiTrades emphasizes, “This does not invalidate macro W3 targets.” Double-digit price targets continue to hold validity unless XRP drops beneath the October 2025 low of $0.77, which acts as the ultimate line in the sand.

Watching the RSI Divergence

The most immediate indicator CasiTrades tracks is an emerging bullish RSI divergence. Even though XRP has continued to creep lower, the Relative Strength Index is printing higher lows on the 1-hour chart, a pattern circled around early-to-mid November. She notes that this divergence “suggests selling momentum is weakening and a potential macro trend reversal is taking shape.”

The primary requirement is simple: CasiTrades wants the “bullish divergence trendline hold.” Maintaining this line reinforces the argument that the token is establishing a base instead of plunging into a deeper correction.

Confirmation Still Ahead

Despite these developing technical indicators, CasiTrades maintains a strict requirement for confirmation. She asserts there will be no conclusive signal that a bottom has been reached “until XRP finally breaks $1.65 resistance.” Until that barrier is cleared, the situation remains a watch-and-wait event.

Her trading strategy remains unchanged. The supports located at $1 and $0.90 are the critical boundaries to defend while the divergence builds and the wave count sits at a crossroads. How XRP behaves at these technical thresholds in upcoming sessions will decide whether XRP accelerates into its next major move or takes a more extended route to reach it.

Frequently Asked Questions

What price is XRP trading near according to the analyst?

XRP is currently trading near $1.0334, sitting just below its macro 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.

What are the two potential scenarios for XRP?

The first scenario involves forming a double-bottom near the $1 level to complete subwave 2 and keep the bullish trend intact. The second scenario involves dropping toward a new low of $0.90, which would reset the subwave count and potentially delay the breakout by months.

What price level would invalidate the macro W3 targets?

The macro W3 targets remain valid unless XRP falls below the $0.77 low established in October 2025.

What technical indicator is showing a bullish signal?

A developing bullish RSI divergence is visible on the 1-hour chart, where the RSI is forming higher lows while the price continues to edge lower, suggesting that selling momentum is fading.